Trump's Support Among Hispanic Voters Sinks to Record Low as Midterms Near, New Poll Finds

With just weeks remaining before Americans cast ballots in the November 3 midterm elections, a newly released Reuters-Ipsos poll has delivered a stark warning for President Donald Trump and his Republican Party: his standing among Hispanic voters has fallen to the lowest level recorded during either of his two terms in the White House.

The six-day survey, which concluded on Monday, found that only 24 percent of Hispanic voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president. That figure marks a sharp decline for a Republican leader who had, in recent election cycles, made notable progress in peeling Latino voters away from the Democratic Party.

Overall, the poll placed Trump's approval rating at 32 percent among American voters at large — a number that has remained essentially flat since September but continues to hover at a record low for his presidency. The findings underscore the difficult political terrain Republicans must navigate as they defend their narrow majorities in both chambers of Congress.

The erosion of Trump's support among Hispanic voters is particularly striking when set against his recent electoral performance. According to estimates from the Pew Research Center, Trump won 48 percent of the Hispanic vote in the 2024 presidential race, finishing within just three percentage points of his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris, who captured 51 percent. That represented a meaningful gain over 2020, when Trump secured only 36 percent of Hispanic voters — a deficit that contributed to his loss to Democrat Joe Biden that year.

Political analysts widely credited that 2024 surge in Latino support as a key ingredient in Trump's return to the White House. Now, however, the new polling suggests those gains have largely unraveled. Among Hispanic voters surveyed, roughly 52 percent said they intend to back Democratic candidates in the upcoming midterms, while only 26 percent expressed support for Republicans — a two-to-one advantage for the opposition party.

The midterm elections are widely interpreted as a national referendum on Trump's second term. Voters will decide whether Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and the Senate, and the outcome will determine how much legislative power Trump retains during the remainder of his presidency. Should Democrats capture one or both chambers, they would be positioned to place substantial constraints on his policy agenda.

Democrats have moved aggressively to capitalize on the president's sagging approval numbers, seeking to convert public dissatisfaction into grassroots enthusiasm and turnout at the polls. Party strategists view the Hispanic community, one of the fastest-growing blocs in the American electorate, as a critical component of that effort.

The poll's release also comes amid signs of unease within Republican ranks. Representative María Elvira Salazar of Florida, an incumbent seeking reelection, aired a campaign advertisement last month that directly addressed the president. In the spot, she declared that "the same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today," citing Trump's stringent immigration enforcement policies as a central source of friction. Salazar specifically criticized the detention and deportation of immigrants who have no criminal record, arguing that some enforcement measures "have gone too far."

That public break from a sitting president of her own party highlights the degree to which immigration policy — a signature issue of Trump's political identity — may now be alienating the very voters Republicans had hoped to keep in their coalition.

Beyond immigration, experts point to a combination of factors weighing on the president's popularity, including persistent voter concerns about the cost of living and his decision to launch a war with Iran. Analysts caution that these issues, taken together, could drag down Republican candidates in competitive races across the country, particularly in districts with significant Latino populations.

Trump, for his part, has shown no signs of distancing himself from the campaign trail. He recently embarked on an ambitious 32-day nationwide rally tour ahead of the November 3 vote, positioning himself at the center of the Republican Party's midterm strategy. Asked about suggestions that some in his party would prefer he stay away from certain races, Trump rejected the notion outright. "Just so you understand, they all want me to go," he said. "They all want me to go campaign."

The president has also publicly expressed confidence about his party's prospects, even as polling signals deepening vulnerabilities. Whether that optimism is borne out will depend heavily on whether Republicans can stem the loss of Hispanic support documented in the latest survey — or whether the defections prove lasting.

With early voting already underway in many states and the election less than a month away, the Reuters-Ipsos findings offer a snapshot of a president whose standing among a pivotal demographic has reached its weakest point yet. For Republicans hoping to preserve their congressional majorities, the numbers represent both a warning sign and a narrowing window to change the trajectory before voters have their say.